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M.I.T.'s 1973 Civilization Collapse Model

Jay Forrester's 'Limits to Growth' simulation said civilization ends around 2040

M.I.T.'s 1973 Civilization Collapse Model

Jay Forrester built World3 in 1972 for the Club of Rome’s Limits to Growth report. The model fed population growth, resource depletion, and pollution into a coupled system and ran it forward. The “business as usual” scenario predicted civilizational collapse around 2040 — population peaks, food production crashes, industrial output follows. Surfaced via Open Culture, with the unspoken observation that the curves so far track the model unsettlingly well.

openculture.com ↗

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